Estonia prepares for smooth transition to European electricity grid amid regional tensions

Estonia is gearing up for its desynchronization from the Russian electricity grid next month, with plans to integrate into the European Union’s power network. Prime Minister Kristen Michal has emphasized the need for readiness, given the potential for disruptions amid heightened regional tensions.

Speaking on “Esimene stuudio,” Michal expressed optimism that the transition would proceed without affecting consumers. However, he acknowledged that the recent sabotage of the Estlink 2 power cable in the Gulf of Finland has highlighted vulnerabilities in critical infrastructure.

“In the energy system, we always prepare backup plans and even backups for those plans. Here in this region, we’ve done both,” Michal stated.

While the damage to Estlink 2 was described as manageable, the prime minister noted the broader implications of such incidents, suggesting they could be attempts by Russia to influence countries supporting Ukraine. The downtime of Estlink 2 has already led to an estimated electricity price increase of 1.4 cents per kWh.

Estonia’s reliance on external energy connections is crucial to maintaining affordable electricity prices. However, Michal emphasized the need for contingency measures to address potential disruptions, whether accidental or intentional.

Looking ahead to February 8, when Estonia, along with Latvia and Lithuania, will disconnect from the Russian and Belarusian BRELL network, Michal voiced confidence in a seamless transition. “Ideally, the desynchronization will be so well-executed by energy experts that consumers won’t even notice,” he said, adding that the event will likely be marked by ceremonial observances and media coverage.

Despite this optimism, Michal stressed the importance of being prepared for alternative scenarios, particularly in light of Estonia’s Independence Day and ongoing regional tensions. “We cannot assume that our neighbor will suddenly become more cooperative or friendly,” he remarked, referring to Russia.

Michal warned of continued attempts by Russia to destabilize democratic states but reiterated the need for a calm and prepared approach. “There’s a Finnish saying I admire: ‘We shouldn’t be scared or fearful, but we should be prepared.’ This mindset is what Estonia needs now.”

The desynchronization marks a significant milestone for Estonia as it aligns its energy infrastructure with continental Europe, further reducing its reliance on Russian systems. The move reflects broader efforts by the Baltic states to strengthen their energy independence amid geopolitical challenges.