John Dramani Mahama, the flagbearer of the National Democratic Congress (NDC), is projected to win Ghana’s 2024 presidential elections, according to the latest predictions by research firm Global InfoAnalytics.
Presidential Race
Mahama is expected to garner 52.2% of the votes, surpassing his main opponent, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia of the New Patriotic Party (NPP), who is predicted to secure 41.4%.
Other candidates, including Alan Kyeremanten and independent candidate Nana Kwame Bediako, are forecasted to receive 2.5% and 3.0%, respectively. Minor candidates are collectively expected to account for 0.9% of the vote.
Parliamentary Outlook
The NDC is anticipated to dominate Ghana’s parliamentary landscape with a projected 150 seats, compared to the NPP’s 99. One independent candidate is predicted to win, while 29 constituencies remain highly competitive and too close to call.
Regional Analysis
Mahama is forecasted to secure victories in key regions, including Greater Accra, Central, Western, Volta, and Bono East. Bawumia, however, is expected to maintain strongholds in the Ashanti, Eastern, Bono, and North East regions.
Voter Turnout
The report estimates a national voter turnout of 77.6%, with variations across regions likely to influence the final results.
Global InfoAnalytics has promised a detailed breakdown of constituency-level predictions following the December 7, 2024, polls.
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